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Stadium Background

Fredericia vs Hillerod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Monjasa Park, Fredericia
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fredericia host Hillerod in the 1st Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Fredericia have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Hillerod's 1.45 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Fredericia have won 3 to Hillerod's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Fredericia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Fredericia
20%
Draws
23%
Hillerod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fredericia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fredericia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fredericia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 20%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredericia Hillerod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Fredericia
0:2
Mar 7, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Hillerod
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Fredericia
0:3
Oct 20, 2023 1st Division
Hillerod vs Fredericia
1:1
Aug 11, 2023 1st Division
Fredericia vs Hillerod
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredericia 85 / 100
Hillerod 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredericia Hillerod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredericia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredericia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Hillerod has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Fredericia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fredericia VS Hillerod
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredericia

(Home)
31 Oct
Fredericia
3 : 1
AB Copenhagen
24 Oct
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Fredericia
17 Oct
Fredericia
3 : 0
Hobro
10 Oct
Hillerod
0 : 2
Fredericia
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
Page 1 of 6

Hillerod

(Away)
01 Nov
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 0
Hillerod
24 Oct
Hillerod
2 : 1
Aalborg
18 Oct
Hvidovre IF
1 : 0
Hillerod
10 Oct
Hillerod
0 : 2
Fredericia
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 13 6 6 1 25:16 24
3 Fredericia 13 6 5 2 21:9 23
4 AB Copenhagen 13 5 3 5 18:15 18
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
7 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
8 Aalborg 13 3 6 4 16:18 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Vendsyssel FF 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
11 Koge 13 2 5 6 19:25 11
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)