Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredericia vs Koge

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Monjasa Park, Fredericia
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Westergren M. In: Bust L.
Out: Westergren M.
37'
Sub
Winther F. In: Dall E.
Out: Winther F.
47' Event
Hansborg E.
Assist: Crone S.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Fredericia and Koge finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fredericia
6%
Draws
4%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fredericia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fredericia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fredericia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 20%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredericia Koge
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 1st Division
Fredericia vs Koge
3:0
Feb 23, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Koge
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 1st Division
Koge vs Fredericia
3:4
Mar 16, 2024 1st Division
Fredericia vs Koge
2:2
Aug 27, 2023 1st Division
Koge vs Fredericia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansborg E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rieper F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Koge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredericia 85 / 100
Koge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredericia Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Fredericia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fredericia scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Koge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fredericia VS Koge
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredericia

(Home)
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
15 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 2
Mafra
04 Jul
Holstein Kiel
1 : 3
Fredericia
27 Jun
Silkeborg
1 : 2
Fredericia
17 May
Fredericia
4 : 1
Silkeborg
Page 1 of 6

Koge

(Away)
18 Jul
Naestved IF
2 : 0
Koge
11 Jul
Koge
1 : 0
Roskilde
03 Jul
Hvidovre IF
1 : 0
Koge
30 May
Aalborg
1 : 0
Koge
24 May
Koge
0 : 1
Hobro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aalborg11001:03
2AB Copenhagen10102:21
3Vejle10102:21
4Aarhus Fremad00000:00
5Hvidovre IF00000:00
6Fredericia00000:00
7Kolding IF00000:00
8Koge00000:00
9Esbjerg00000:00
10Vendsyssel FF00000:00
11Hobro00000:00
12Hillerod10010:10
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)