Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredericia vs Koge

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Monjasa Park, Fredericia
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Westergren M. In: Bust L.
Out: Westergren M.
37'
Sub
Winther F. In: Dall E.
Out: Winther F.
47' Event
Hansborg E.
Assist: Crone S.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Fredericia and Koge finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fredericia
35%
Draws
38%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Koge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fredericia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 20%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredericia Koge
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 1st Division
Fredericia vs Koge
3:0
Feb 23, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Koge
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 1st Division
Koge vs Fredericia
3:4
Mar 16, 2024 1st Division
Fredericia vs Koge
2:2
Aug 27, 2023 1st Division
Koge vs Fredericia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansborg E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rieper F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Koge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredericia 32 / 100
Koge 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredericia Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredericia found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Koge let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fredericia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fredericia VS Koge
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredericia

(Home)
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
12 Sept
Kolding IF
0 : 0
Fredericia
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Hvidovre IF
2 : 1
Fredericia
26 Aug
Fredericia
1 : 2
Odense
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Koge

(Away)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 9 5 4 0 22:13 19
3 Fredericia 9 3 5 1 12:6 14
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Aalborg 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
6 Hobro 9 4 1 4 12:16 13
7 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
8 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
9 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Koge 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
12 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)