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Fredrikstad U19 vs Stabaek U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Nasjonal U19 CL. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Stabaek U19 have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Fredrikstad U19 have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Fredrikstad U19 have won 2 to Stabaek U19's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2021, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 2.38) back Fredrikstad U19 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Fredrikstad U19
6%
Draws
90%
Stabaek U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stabaek U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stabaek U19 come out ahead of Fredrikstad U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stabaek U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Stabaek U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fredrikstad U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fredrikstad U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad U19 Stabaek U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2021 Junior U19
Fredrikstad U19 vs Stabaek U19
2:0
Mar 23, 2016 Junior U19
Stabaek U19 vs Fredrikstad U19
2:1
Mar 1, 2016 Junior U19
Fredrikstad U19 vs Stabaek U19
4:5
Oct 12, 2011 Junior U19
Stabaek U19 vs Fredrikstad U19
6:6
Jun 8, 2011 Junior U19
Fredrikstad U19 vs Stabaek U19
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad U19 10 / 100
Stabaek U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad U19 Stabaek U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad U19 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 6.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Stabaek U19 conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fredrikstad U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad U19 VS Stabaek U19
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad U19

(Home)
30 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 2
Fredrikstad U19
15 Apr
Fredrikstad U19
1 : 1
Kongsvinger U19
16 Mar
Tromso U19
4 : 1
Fredrikstad U19
07 Mar
Fredrikstad U19
2 : 0
Odds BK U19
01 Mar
Fredrikstad U19
2 : 2
Start U19
Page 1 of 6

Stabaek U19

(Away)
30 Mar
Kfum Oslo U19
1 : 4
Stabaek U19
22 Mar
Stabaek U19
2 : 1
Odds BK U19
18 Mar
Sandefjord U19
4 : 1
Stabaek U19
14 Mar
Stabaek U19
11 : 1
Sandnes Ulf U19
08 Feb
Viking U19
2 : 2
Stabaek U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lyn U19-
TBD-
Viking U194
Kristiansund U193
Tromso U19-
TBD-
Stromsgodset U196
Sandnes Ulf U192
Lillestrom U19-
TBD-
Haugesund U191
Aalesund U192
Brann U19-
TBD-
Valerenga U192
Kongsvinger U190
Stabaek U19-
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08 U191
Fredrikstad U192
Sandefjord U19-
TBD-
Asane U194
Sogndal U190
Ham-Kam U19-
TBD-
Odds BK U194
Kfum Oslo U190
Rosenborg U19-
TBD-
Molde U193
Moss U192
1/8-finals
Lyn U19-
Viking U19-
Tromso U19-
Stromsgodset U19-
Lillestrom U19-
Aalesund U19-
Brann U194
Valerenga U191
Stabaek U19-
Fredrikstad U19-
Sandefjord U19-
Asane U19-
Ham-Kam U19-
Odds BK U19-
Rosenborg U19-
Molde U19-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-