Sport Picks
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
Norway
Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Melchior M. In: Vester J.
Out: Melchior M.
26'
26'
Ohlenschlaeger O.
39'
39'
Holme F.
Assist: Nilsson M.
AI Match Summary
The Eliteserien game between Fredrikstad and Sandefjord finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredrikstad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredrikstad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Fredrikstad haven't matched Sandefjord's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 19%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fredrikstad | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
1:0
May 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
0:0
Apr 21, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fredrikstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Holme F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sandefjord Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fredrikstad 32 / 100
Sandefjord 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fredrikstad Sandefjord
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fredrikstad scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Sandefjord has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Sandefjord registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fredrikstad VS Sandefjord
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fredrikstad
(Home) 01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0 Elfsborg
20 Jun
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Ham-Kam
29 May
Fredrikstad
2 : 1 Start
Page 1 of 3
Sandefjord
(Away) 01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1 Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2 Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1 Sandefjord
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1 Sandefjord
30 May
Molde
2 : 1 Sandefjord
16 May
Lillestrom
3 : 1 Sandefjord
26 Apr
Tromso
3 : 1 Sandefjord
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43:12 | 41 |
| 2 | Viking | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Molde | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 24 |
| 6 | Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33:27 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Ham-Kam | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Rosenborg | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23:21 | 21 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:29 | 20 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:27 | 20 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | 15 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 22:36 | 14 |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16:38 | 10 |
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
