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Freedom W vs Cesena W

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Serie B Women 2025/2026
Freedom W Logo

Freedom W

2 - 2
FT
Cesena W Logo

Cesena W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Freedom W
15%
Draws
46%
Cesena W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesena W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cesena W have won more games recently than Freedom W.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 64%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Freedom W Clean Sheet 10%
Cesena W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freedom W Cesena W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.07 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie B Women
Freedom W vs Cesena W
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie B Women
Cesena W vs Freedom W
3:1
Mar 16, 2025 Serie B Women
Cesena W vs Freedom W
0:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie B Women
Freedom W vs Cesena W
3:1
May 5, 2024 Serie B Women
Cesena W vs Freedom W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freedom W 30 / 100
Cesena W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freedom W Cesena W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freedom W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Cesena W let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Freedom W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freedom W VS Cesena W
2.2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.4 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Freedom W

(Home)
17 May
Trastevere Calcio W
0 : 2
Freedom W
10 May
Freedom W
2 : 1
RES Roma W
03 May
San Marino Academy W
3 : 0
Freedom W
26 Apr
Freedom W
5 : 1
Brescia W
04 Apr
Bologna W
2 : 2
Freedom W
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Cesena W

(Away)
27 Sept
Cesena W
2 : 0
Venezia W
20 Sept
RES Roma W
1 : 4
Cesena W
12 Sept
Hellas Verona W
2 : 1
Cesena W
29 Aug
Cesena W
6 : 1
Arezzo W
22 Aug
Cesena W
2 : 1
San Marino Academy W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 1907 W 26 22 3 1 72:20 69
2 Lumezzane W 26 18 4 4 52:24 58
3 Cesena W 26 17 2 7 63:33 53
4 Bologna W 26 13 4 9 50:38 43
5 Freedom W 26 11 9 6 50:43 42
6 RES Roma W 26 12 6 8 52:43 42
7 Frosinone W 26 9 6 11 36:43 33
8 Vicenza W 26 9 6 11 33:36 33
9 Brescia W 26 9 5 12 37:43 32
10 Arezzo W 26 8 5 13 29:43 29
11 San Marino Academy W 26 8 4 14 35:54 28
12 Hellas Verona W 26 4 7 15 28:48 19
13 Venezia W 26 4 4 18 30:71 16
14 Trastevere Calcio W 26 3 5 18 22:50 14
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