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Freeport vs Global Pharma

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Tulo B.

AI Match Summary

Freeport in this LFA First Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freeport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Freeport
35%
Draws
32%
Global Pharma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Freeport haven't matched Global Pharma's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Freeport a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Freeport Clean Sheet 16%
Global Pharma Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Global Pharma
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 LFA First Division
Global Pharma vs Freeport
2:2
Nov 24, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Global Pharma
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 LFA First Division
Global Pharma vs Freeport
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Global Pharma
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freeport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tulo B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Global Pharma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 48 / 100
Global Pharma 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Global Pharma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freeport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Global Pharma has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Freeport scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Freeport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 7

Global Pharma

(Away)
20 Apr
Global Pharma
1 : 2
Invincible Eleven
16 Apr
Heaven Eleven
3 : 2
Global Pharma
09 Apr
Watanga
2 : 0
Global Pharma
06 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
2 : 3
Global Pharma
28 Mar
Global Pharma
2 : 2
Freeport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fassell 26 17 5 4 57:21 56
2 Heaven Eleven 26 13 6 7 47:26 45
3 Watanga 26 10 10 6 33:24 40
4 Discoveries 26 11 6 9 47:38 39
5 BEA Mountain 26 10 7 9 50:45 37
6 Global Pharma 26 11 3 12 40:47 36
7 LPRC Oiler 26 9 8 9 31:30 35
8 Paynesville 26 10 5 11 33:40 35
9 Black Man Warrior 26 8 9 9 36:38 33
10 Liberia Registry 26 9 5 12 42:44 32
11 Freeport 26 8 7 11 37:51 31
12 Mighty Barrolle 26 8 5 13 38:65 29
13 Shaita 26 6 9 11 40:47 27
14 Invincible Eleven 26 5 9 12 29:44 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)