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Freeport vs LPRC Oiler

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Freeport Logo

Freeport

2 - 3
FT
LPRC Oiler Logo

LPRC Oiler

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Freeport and LPRC Oiler finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LPRC Oiler.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Freeport
35%
Draws
46%
LPRC Oiler
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LPRC Oiler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • LPRC Oiler carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans LPRC Oiler's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Freeport Clean Sheet 10%
LPRC Oiler Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport LPRC Oiler
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs LPRC Oiler
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler vs Freeport
2:1
Jan 4, 2025 LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler vs Freeport
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs LPRC Oiler
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs LPRC Oiler
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 14 / 100
LPRC Oiler 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport LPRC Oiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LPRC Oiler Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

LPRC Oiler let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Freeport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS LPRC Oiler
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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LPRC Oiler

(Away)
19 May
Heaven Eleven
1 : 1
LPRC Oiler
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
25 Apr
LPRC Oiler
0 : 2
Borough FC
14 Apr
Freeport
2 : 3
LPRC Oiler
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)