Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freeport vs Shaita

Liberia Liberia

Orange Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Freeport
35%
Draws
41%
Shaita
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shaita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Shaita have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Freeport are scoring more at 1.53.
  • Freeport are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Shaita, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Freeport Clean Sheet 10%
Shaita Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Shaita
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Orange Cup
Shaita vs Freeport
1:1
Apr 22, 2026 Orange Cup
Freeport vs Shaita
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Shaita
2:1
Oct 16, 2024 LFA First Division
Shaita vs Freeport
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 34 / 100
Shaita 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Shaita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Shaita let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Freeport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Shaita
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Shaita

(Away)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
22 Apr
Freeport
0 : 1
Shaita
09 Apr
FC Fassell
0 : 2
Shaita
20 Apr
BEA Mountain
5 : 2
Shaita
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Black Man Warrior 1
Watanga 0
Gardnersville 2
Downtown 0
BEA Mountain 1
Freeport 3
FC Fassell 0
Shaita 2
Semi-finals
Black Man Warrior 4
Gardnersville 3
Freeport 1
Shaita 2
Final
Black Man Warrior 2
Shaita 1