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Freeport vs Wologizi

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freeport in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freeport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Freeport
35%
Draws
43%
Wologizi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wologizi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Freeport haven't matched Wologizi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Freeport a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Freeport Clean Sheet 18%
Wologizi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Wologizi
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Wologizi
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 LFA First Division
Wologizi vs Freeport
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 36 / 100
Wologizi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Wologizi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Freeport's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Wologizi let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Freeport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Wologizi
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Wologizi

(Away)
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
09 May
Wologizi
1 : 0
Heaven Eleven
05 May
Wologizi
0 : 0
Discoveries
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
25 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Wologizi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)