Sport Picks
Frei Paulistano vs Atletico Gloriense
Brazil
Sergipano 2 
Match Events
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AI Match Summary
Frei Paulistano host Atletico Gloriense in the Sergipano 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Frei Paulistano at 2.6 goals for, 0.4 against; Atletico Gloriense at 2.25 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Atletico Gloriense slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.55 - 1.32) back Frei Paulistano to edge this. Frei Paulistano in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Frei Paulistano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atletico Gloriense.
- Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Frei Paulistano.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Sergipano 2 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Atletico Gloriense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 32 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.6 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.60 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Frei Paulistano scored in 61% of their last 33 games.
Atletico Gloriense let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Frei Paulistano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Atletico Gloriense lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26:3 | 25 |
| 2 | Atletico Gloriense | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:2 | 22 |
| 3 | Olimpico EC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Frei Paulistano | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Caninde | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:20 | 13 |
| 6 | America de Pedrinhas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 7 | Atletico Central | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 8 | Flamengo SE | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Independente SE | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:23 | 5 |
| 10 | Boca Junior | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:28 | 0 |