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Frei Paulistano vs Barra SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Frei Paulistano
6%
Draws
4%
Barra SE
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Frei Paulistano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frei Paulistano lately — more wins on the board than Barra SE.
  • Win probability leans Frei Paulistano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 68%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frei Paulistano Barra SE
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Sergipano 2
Frei Paulistano vs Barra SE
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frei Paulistano 95 / 100
Barra SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frei Paulistano Barra SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frei Paulistano found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Barra SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Frei Paulistano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Frei Paulistano VS Barra SE
2 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Frei Paulistano

(Home)
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4
Frei Paulistano
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Frei Paulistano
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7

Barra SE

(Away)
01 Mar
Itabaiana
4 : 2
Barra SE
22 Feb
Barra SE
0 : 2
Dorense
15 Feb
Confianca
8 : 1
Barra SE
09 Feb
Barra SE
1 : 0
America de Propria
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE541014:213
2America de Pedrinhas541013:413
3Desportiva Aracaju540116:512
4Frei Paulistano52218:68
5Flamengo SE50143:161
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra SE52217:68
2Atletico Central51135:74
3Independente SE51136:94
4Boca Junior51137:124
5Caninde51048:203
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)