Sport Picks
Freiberg vs FC 08 Homburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Sudwest 
Match Events
30'
30'
Kennedy S.
55'
55'
Ojiekhai J.
75'
75'
Celik B.
AI Match Summary
Freiberg in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiberg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC 08 Homburg lately — more wins on the board than Freiberg.
- Model gives Freiberg a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 20%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Freiberg | FC 08 Homburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs FC 08 Homburg
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiberg
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs FC 08 Homburg
1:2
Apr 25, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiberg
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs FC 08 Homburg
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Freiberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kennedy S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ojiekhai J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
FC 08 Homburg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Freiberg 67 / 100
FC 08 Homburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Freiberg FC 08 Homburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Freiberg scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
FC 08 Homburg has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Freiberg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Freiberg VS FC 08 Homburg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Freiberg
(Home) 03 Oct
Freiberg
2 : 2 TSV Steinbach Haiger
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2 Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3 Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0 Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0 Freiberg
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Freiberg
2 : 2 TSV Steinbach Haiger
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2 Stutt. Kickers
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0 Mainz II
29 Aug
Freiberg
2 : 1 Eintracht Frankfurt II
15 Aug
Freiberg
3 : 0 FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 3
FC 08 Homburg
(Away) 09 Oct
Kickers Offenbach
2 : 2 FC 08 Homburg
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1 Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
TSV Steinbach Haiger
1 : 0 FC 08 Homburg
19 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 2 Kassel
12 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 : 2 FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Kickers Offenbach
2 : 2 FC 08 Homburg
26 Sept
TSV Steinbach Haiger
1 : 0 FC 08 Homburg
12 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 : 2 FC 08 Homburg
06 Sept
VfR Mannheim
1 : 1 FC 08 Homburg
22 Aug
Sandhausen
1 : 3 FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aalen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Freiberg | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Kickers Offenbach | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:15 | 20 |
| 4 | Stutt. Kickers | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 5 | VfR Mannheim | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Freiburg II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 16 |
| 7 | TSV Steinbach Haiger | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 8 | FC 08 Homburg | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Sandhausen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Eintracht Trier | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | 16 |
| 11 | Kassel | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | FSV Frankfurt | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Astoria Walldorf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Mainz II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 17 | Ulm | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | 8 |
| 18 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 6 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
