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Freiberg vs Hoffenheim

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Lemperle T.
48' Event
Rots M.
76' Event
Zeitler D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Freiberg and Hoffenheim finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoffenheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Freiberg
30%
Draws
28%
Hoffenheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Freiberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Freiberg haven't matched Hoffenheim's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Freiberg's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 10%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiberg Hoffenheim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.24 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Freiberg vs Hoffenheim
0:3
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Freiberg
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hoffenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemperle T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rots M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiberg 65 / 100
Hoffenheim 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiberg Hoffenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiberg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Freiberg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hoffenheim conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Freiberg VS Hoffenheim
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiberg

(Home)
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
29 Aug
Freiberg
2 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II
22 Aug
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Freiberg
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Hoffenheim

(Away)
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2
Hoffenheim
22 Aug
Aue
0 : 4
Hoffenheim
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