Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gouras M.
82' Event
Gouras M.

AI Match Summary

Freiberg in this Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Freiberg
35%
Draws
38%
Kickers Offenbach
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kickers Offenbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Freiberg haven't matched Kickers Offenbach's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kickers Offenbach a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 20%
Kickers Offenbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiberg Kickers Offenbach
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.1 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kickers Offenbach vs Freiberg
2:5
Dec 6, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kickers Offenbach vs Freiberg
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gouras M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kickers Offenbach Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiberg 28 / 100
Kickers Offenbach 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiberg Kickers Offenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kickers Offenbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiberg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Freiberg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kickers Offenbach conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Freiberg VS Kickers Offenbach
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiberg

(Home)
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
29 Aug
Freiberg
2 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II
22 Aug
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Freiberg
15 Aug
Freiberg
3 : 0
FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 6

Kickers Offenbach

(Away)
08 Sept
Kickers Offenbach
3 : 2
TSV Steinbach Haiger
05 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
1 : 1
Kickers Offenbach
28 Aug
Kickers Offenbach
4 : 0
Kaiserslautern II
22 Aug
Kickers Offenbach
3 : 1
Mainz II
14 Aug
Ulm
0 : 2
Kickers Offenbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 86:43 68
2 Freiberg 34 18 8 8 68:38 62
3 FSV Frankfurt 34 16 9 9 64:48 57
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 15 11 8 71:42 56
5 TSV Steinbach Haiger 34 16 8 10 78:58 56
6 Kassel 34 15 9 10 62:51 54
7 Stutt. Kickers 34 17 3 14 51:44 54
8 Sandhausen 34 16 6 12 53:56 54
9 Mainz II 34 14 11 9 52:45 53
10 Fulda-Lehnerz 34 13 10 11 51:44 49
11 Freiburg II 34 14 6 14 74:73 48
12 Astoria Walldorf 34 13 8 13 64:65 47
13 Eintracht Trier 34 13 8 13 48:52 47
14 Kickers Offenbach 34 11 10 13 57:58 43
15 Alzenau 34 7 6 21 45:74 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 7 4 23 40:83 25
17 Balingen 34 6 7 21 38:87 25
18 Bahlinger 34 4 10 20 34:75 22
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)