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Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gouras M.
82' Event
Gouras M.

AI Match Summary

Freiberg in this Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Freiberg
28%
Draws
50%
Kickers Offenbach
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kickers Offenbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Freiberg haven't matched Kickers Offenbach's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kickers Offenbach a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 10%
Kickers Offenbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiberg Kickers Offenbach
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kickers Offenbach vs Freiberg
2:5
Dec 6, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kickers Offenbach vs Freiberg
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gouras M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kickers Offenbach Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiberg 22 / 100
Kickers Offenbach 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiberg Kickers Offenbach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiberg's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kickers Offenbach let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Freiberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freiberg VS Kickers Offenbach
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522