Sport Picks

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Freiburg vs Jablonec

Europe Europe

Conference League Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freiburg host Jablonec in the Conference League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Jablonec have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Freiburg have conceded 1.28 and scored 2.24. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 0.88) point toward Freiburg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Freiburg
15%
Draws
18%
Jablonec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Freiburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Freiburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 68%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg Jablonec
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.24 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg 95 / 100
Jablonec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg Jablonec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Freiburg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jablonec has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Jablonec's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg VS Jablonec
3 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg

(Home)
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Motherwell
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5
Freiburg
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Jablonec

(Away)
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Jablonec
3 : 0
Ostrava
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
02 Sept
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1
Jablonec
30 Aug
Teplice
2 : 0
Jablonec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mjallby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Gent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 St. Truiden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Twente 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Nordsjaelland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Brann 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Braga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Hearts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Lugano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
25 Crvena zvezda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
26 Thun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
27 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
28 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
29 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
30 KF Egnatia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
31 Inter Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
32 FK Kauno Zalgiris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
33 Univ. Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
34 Iberia 1999 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
35 Lincoln Red Imps 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
36 Riga FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)