Sport Picks
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
Germany
Bundesliga Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg 
Match Events
29'
29'
Suzuki Y.
Assist: Beste J.
45'
45'
Matanovic I.
Assist: Ginter M.
46'
46'
Sub
Beste J. In: Irie C.
Out: Beste J.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Freiburg and Werder Bremen finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freiburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Freiburg carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Freiburg taking it.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Freiburg have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 12%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Freiburg | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
4:1
Feb 7, 2026 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Freiburg
0:3
Feb 21, 2025 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
5:0
Oct 5, 2024 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Freiburg
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Freiburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Suzuki Y.
3 Goals Assists Leader Matanovic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Werder Bremen Compare
Top Goalscorer Stalmach D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Freiburg 83 / 100
Werder Bremen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Freiburg Werder Bremen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Freiburg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Freiburg scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.
Werder Bremen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Freiburg VS Werder Bremen
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Freiburg
(Home) 30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
20 Aug
Motherwell
1 : 3 Freiburg
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 5
Werder Bremen
(Away) 30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3 Werder Bremen
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
01 Aug
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3 Werder Bremen
01 Aug
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4 Werder Bremen
18 Jul
Verden
2 : 6 Werder Bremen
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1. FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Mainz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | Paderborn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 14 | Hamburger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Schalke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
