Sport Picks
Match Events
55'
55'
Koulierakis K.
Assist: Eriksen C.
57'
57'
Ginter M.
58'
58'
Sub
Holer L. In: Matanovic I.
Out: Holer L.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Freiburg and Wolfsburg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Wolfsburg haven't matched Freiburg's recent run of results.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Wolfsburg taking it.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 11%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Freiburg | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg
3:4
Apr 26, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg
0:1
Dec 13, 2024 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Freiburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Lienhart P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Wolfsburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Koulierakis K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Freiburg 22 / 100
Wolfsburg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Freiburg Wolfsburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wolfsburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wolfsburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Freiburg scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Freiburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Freiburg VS Wolfsburg
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Freiburg
(Home) 15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
31 Jul
Freiburg
0 : 3 Greuther Furth
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
31 Jul
Freiburg
0 : 3 Greuther Furth
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
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Wolfsburg
(Away) 16 Aug
Hannover
0 : 1 Wolfsburg
08 Aug
Wolfsburg
0 : 0 Kaiserslautern
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1 Telstar
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2 Lyon
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0 Verl
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16 Aug
Hannover
0 : 1 Wolfsburg
11 Jul
Schoningen
2 : 8 Wolfsburg
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1 Wolfsburg
16 May
St. Pauli
1 : 3 Wolfsburg
03 May
Freiburg
1 : 1 Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
