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Freiburg W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Dreisamstadion, Freiburg
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freiburg W host 1.FC Nurnberg W in the Bundesliga Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Freiburg W have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against 1.FC Nurnberg W's 1.9 scored and 2.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Freiburg W have won 3 to 1.FC Nurnberg W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 6, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.81, favoring Freiburg W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Freiburg W
15%
Draws
26%
1.FC Nurnberg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Freiburg W have won more games recently than 1.FC Nurnberg W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 11%
1.FC Nurnberg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg W 1.FC Nurnberg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Freiburg W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Freiburg W
3:2
Sep 7, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Freiburg W
1:2
Mar 17, 2024 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Freiburg W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg W 35 / 100
1.FC Nurnberg W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg W 1.FC Nurnberg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1.FC Nurnberg W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

1.FC Nurnberg W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Freiburg W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg W VS 1.FC Nurnberg W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 6

1.FC Nurnberg W

(Away)
04 Oct
1.FC Nurnberg W
1 : 2
Hoffenheim W
27 Sept
Buntentor W
0 : 10
1.FC Nurnberg W
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
06 Sept
1.FC Nurnberg W
3 : 3
VfB Stuttgart W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)