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Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Dreisamstadion, Freiburg
Freiburg W Logo

Freiburg W

1 - 2
FT
Bayer Leverkusen W Logo

Bayer Leverkusen W

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kramer C.
Own Goal
23'
Turanyi L.
46'
Sub
Schneider M. In: Ojukwu N.
Out: Schneider M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen W in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayer Leverkusen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Freiburg W
15%
Draws
49%
Bayer Leverkusen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayer Leverkusen W lately — more wins on the board than Freiburg W.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayer Leverkusen W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg W Bayer Leverkusen W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 20
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.66 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Freiburg W
4:1
Nov 10, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Freiburg W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg W 34 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg W Bayer Leverkusen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Freiburg W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bayer Leverkusen W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Freiburg W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg W VS Bayer Leverkusen W
1.5 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 6

Bayer Leverkusen W

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
27 Sept
Viktoria Berlin W
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3
Bayern Munich W
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)