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Freiburg W vs RB Leipzig W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Dreisamstadion, Freiburg
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freiburg W host RB Leipzig W in the Bundesliga Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. RB Leipzig W have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Freiburg W have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Freiburg W have won 2 to RB Leipzig W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.63, favoring Freiburg W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Freiburg W
15%
Draws
45%
RB Leipzig W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Freiburg W come out ahead of RB Leipzig W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans RB Leipzig W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 14%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg W RB Leipzig W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.66 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Freiburg W
2:0
Nov 3, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs RB Leipzig W
2:4
Mar 30, 2025 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Freiburg W
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs RB Leipzig W
4:1
May 20, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs RB Leipzig W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg W 23 / 100
RB Leipzig W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg W RB Leipzig W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Freiburg W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

RB Leipzig W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Freiburg W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg W VS RB Leipzig W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 6

RB Leipzig W

(Away)
03 Oct
RB Leipzig W
5 : 0
Mainz W
27 Sept
Blau-Gelb Marburg W
0 : 2
RB Leipzig W
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2
RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)