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Stadium Background

Freiburg W vs Union Berlin W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Dreisamstadion, Freiburg
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Grawe L.
46'
Sub
Veit J. In: Bauereisen N.
Out: Veit J.
50'
Schneider T.

AI Match Summary

Freiburg W in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiburg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Freiburg W
15%
Draws
42%
Union Berlin W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Freiburg W have won more games recently than Union Berlin W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Freiburg W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 20%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburg W Union Berlin W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.77 2
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Union Berlin W
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Union Berlin W
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Freiburg W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Karl L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Union Berlin W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburg W 36 / 100
Union Berlin W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburg W Union Berlin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Berlin W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freiburg W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Union Berlin W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Freiburg W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freiburg W VS Union Berlin W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 7

Union Berlin W

(Away)
04 Oct
VfB Stuttgart W
0 : 4
Union Berlin W
27 Sept
Magdeburg W
0 : 5
Union Berlin W
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2
RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0
Union Berlin W
07 Sept
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)