Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freiburger vs Neckarsulm SU

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Neupert S.
(Penalty)
8' Event
Eggert M.
68' Event
Pander P.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 game between Freiburger and Neckarsulm SU finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neckarsulm SU.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Freiburger
15%
Draws
21%
Neckarsulm SU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neckarsulm SU come out ahead of Freiburger on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Neckarsulm SU have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Freiburger Clean Sheet 10%
Neckarsulm SU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freiburger Neckarsulm SU
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiburger vs Neckarsulm SU
1:2
Oct 1, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarsulm SU vs Freiburger
1:0
Feb 19, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarsulm SU vs Freiburger
2:1
Aug 7, 2021 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiburger vs Neckarsulm SU
2:3
Apr 21, 2021 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiburger vs Neckarsulm SU
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freiburger Compare

Top Goalscorer Eggert M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Neckarsulm SU Compare

Top Goalscorer Pander P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freiburger 30 / 100
Neckarsulm SU 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freiburger Neckarsulm SU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neckarsulm SU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neckarsulm SU has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Neckarsulm SU registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Freiburger's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Freiburger VS Neckarsulm SU
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburger

(Home)
29 Jun
Bahlinger
4 : 0
Freiburger
04 Feb
Lorrach-Brombach
0 : 3
Freiburger
02 Feb
Karlsruher II
1 : 0
Freiburger
25 Jan
FC 08 Villingen
6 : 0
Freiburger
13 Jul
Freiburger
0 : 4
Bahlinger
Page 1 of 7

Neckarsulm SU

(Away)
29 Jan
Astoria Walldorf
4 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
03 Feb
Neckarsulm SU
1 : 4
Freiberg
03 Feb
Backnang
1 : 1
Neckarsulm SU
12 Aug
Walldorf II
1 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
27 May
Oberachern
3 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stutt. Kickers 34 26 6 2 108:17 84
2 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 22 3 9 66:42 69
3 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 21 3 10 80:51 66
4 Goppinger 34 16 10 8 57:48 58
5 Mutschelbach 34 16 9 9 71:66 57
6 Oberachern 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
7 Holzhausen FC 34 13 9 12 69:62 48
8 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 46:42 48
9 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 14 5 15 68:72 47
10 FC Nottingen 34 13 6 15 68:66 45
11 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 8 14 69:62 44
12 Offenburger 34 11 7 16 48:75 40
13 Backnang 34 11 6 17 56:76 39
14 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 46:63 37
15 Ravensburg 34 8 13 13 44:62 37
16 Rielasingen - Arlen 34 10 7 17 55:77 37
17 Neckarsulm SU 34 7 10 17 46:68 31
18 Freiburger 34 4 6 24 38:91 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)