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Freital vs Auerbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Freital Logo

Freital

2 - 0
FT
Auerbach Logo

Auerbach

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Freital and Auerbach finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Freital
20%
Draws
51%
Auerbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auerbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Auerbach haven't matched Freital's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Freital Clean Sheet 13%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Auerbach
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
2:0
Mar 25, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Freital
3:0
Mar 12, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Freital
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
1:2
Jun 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 31 / 100
Auerbach 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Auerbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auerbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freital's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Auerbach has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Freital remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Auerbach
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
30 May
Rsv Eintracht
2 : 1
Freital
Page 1 of 6

Auerbach

(Away)
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
09 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Auerbach
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2
Bayreuth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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