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Stadium Background

Freital vs Auerbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Freital and Auerbach finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Freital
22%
Draws
18%
Auerbach
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Auerbach haven't matched Freital's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Freital a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Freital Clean Sheet 12%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Auerbach
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 2 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
2:0
Mar 25, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Freital
3:0
Mar 12, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Freital
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
1:2
Jun 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Auerbach
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 56 / 100
Auerbach 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Auerbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freital's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Auerbach registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Auerbach conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Auerbach
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rsv Eintracht30208261:2968
2Freital30192957:2859
3Plauen30185752:2859
4Auerbach30149751:3751
5Halberstadt301461049:4448
6Halle301371068:4546
7Bautzen30129957:4645
8Krieschow301271148:4243
9Glauchau301171246:5240
10Sandersdorf301091140:4139
11Einheit Wernigerode30961541:5833
12Einheit Rudolstadt30961539:6033
13Stendal30861641:5930
14Grimma30841847:7328
15Bischofswerdaer30671736:6125
16Heiligenstadt30481833:6320