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Freital vs Grimma

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Freital Logo

Freital

1 - 0
FT
Grimma Logo

Grimma

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Freital in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Freital
15%
Draws
59%
Grimma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Freital have won more games recently than Grimma.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Freital have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Freital Clean Sheet 11%
Grimma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Grimma
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.69 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Grimma
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Freital
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Grimma
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Freital
1:3
Mar 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Grimma
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 30 / 100
Grimma 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Grimma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grimma has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Freital scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Freital stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Grimma
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
30 May
Rsv Eintracht
2 : 1
Freital
Page 1 of 6

Grimma

(Away)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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