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Freital vs Meuselwitz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freital host Meuselwitz in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Freital have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Meuselwitz's 1.94 scored and 1.58 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.13) point toward Freital. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Freital
35%
Draws
32%
Meuselwitz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Meuselwitz come out ahead of Freital on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Freital Clean Sheet 10%
Meuselwitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Meuselwitz
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.71 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 30 / 100
Meuselwitz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Meuselwitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Freital stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Freital scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Meuselwitz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Meuselwitz
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
31 Oct
Sandersdorf
1 : 1
Freital
24 Oct
Freital
3 : 2
SSC Weissenfels
17 Oct
Krieschow
2 : 4
Freital
10 Oct
Freital
1 : 1
Glauchau
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
Page 1 of 6

Meuselwitz

(Away)
01 Nov
Meuselwitz
3 : 3
Dresden II
23 Oct
Bautzen
1 : 3
Meuselwitz
18 Oct
Meuselwitz
2 : 2
Plauen
11 Oct
Halle
0 : 3
Meuselwitz
26 Sept
Meuselwitz
1 : 1
Halberstadt
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meuselwitz 10 7 3 0 24:11 24
2 Auerbach 10 7 2 1 25:10 23
3 Halberstadt 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Halle 10 7 0 3 23:17 21
5 Eilenburg 10 5 1 4 27:16 16
6 Dresden II 10 3 6 1 20:13 15
7 SSC Weissenfels 10 5 0 5 16:17 15
8 Freital 10 3 5 2 20:18 14
9 Plauen 10 3 4 3 16:14 13
10 Sandersdorf 10 3 2 5 22:20 11
11 Krieschow 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
12 Glauchau 10 2 3 5 12:16 9
13 Bautzen 10 2 3 5 14:23 9
14 Einheit Wernigerode 10 1 5 4 15:27 8
15 1.FC Frankfurt 10 2 0 8 13:32 6
16 Einheit Rudolstadt 10 0 3 7 6:28 3
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