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Freital vs SSC Weissenfels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Freital host SSC Weissenfels in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Freital at 1.67 goals for, 1.3 against; SSC Weissenfels at 1.43 for, 1.71 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward Freital. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Freital
35%
Draws
28%
SSC Weissenfels
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Freital have won more games recently than SSC Weissenfels.
  • Freital are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Freital Clean Sheet 17%
SSC Weissenfels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital SSC Weissenfels
Matches Played 27 7
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 0
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 66 / 100
SSC Weissenfels 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital SSC Weissenfels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freital's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

SSC Weissenfels has conceded goals in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Freital has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SSC Weissenfels lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS SSC Weissenfels
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
10 Oct
Freital
1 : 1
Glauchau
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
Page 1 of 6

SSC Weissenfels

(Away)
11 Oct
Bautzen
2 : 0
SSC Weissenfels
26 Sept
SSC Weissenfels
0 : 2
Plauen
20 Sept
Halle
1 : 4
SSC Weissenfels
13 Sept
SSC Weissenfels
0 : 4
Halberstadt
30 Aug
Meuselwitz
3 : 2
SSC Weissenfels
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 7 6 1 0 23:4 19
2 Meuselwitz 7 6 1 0 16:5 19
3 Eilenburg 7 5 1 1 25:10 16
4 Auerbach 7 4 2 1 16:8 14
5 Halle 7 4 0 3 15:14 12
6 Dresden II 7 2 5 0 11:6 11
7 Plauen 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
8 SSC Weissenfels 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
9 Bautzen 7 2 3 2 10:13 9
10 Sandersdorf 7 2 1 4 16:13 7
11 Freital 7 1 4 2 12:13 7
12 Einheit Wernigerode 7 1 4 2 12:18 7
13 Krieschow 7 1 2 4 7:18 5
14 Glauchau 7 0 3 4 6:13 3
15 1.FC Frankfurt 7 1 0 6 7:26 3
16 Einheit Rudolstadt 7 0 2 5 5:20 2
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)