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Freital vs Wacker Nordhausen Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Schulze S.
90' Event
Russ S.

AI Match Summary

Freital in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Freital
30%
Draws
23%
Wacker Nordhausen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Wacker Nordhausen haven't matched Freital's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Freital taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Freital Clean Sheet 20%
Wacker Nordhausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Wacker Nordhausen
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.89 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Wacker Nordhausen
2:0
Nov 6, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wacker Nordhausen vs Freital
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freital Compare

Top Goalscorer Schulze S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russ S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Wacker Nordhausen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 58 / 100
Wacker Nordhausen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Wacker Nordhausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freital found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Wacker Nordhausen let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Freital has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
Page 1 of 8

Wacker Nordhausen

(Away)
08 Feb
Blau-Weiss Zorbau
3 : 1
Wacker Nordhausen
01 Feb
Wacker Nordhausen
3 : 0
SVG Gottingen
25 Jan
Plauen
3 : 0
Wacker Nordhausen
10 Jun
Grimma
1 : 0
Wacker Nordhausen
25 May
Wacker Nordhausen
1 : 3
An der Fahner Hohe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eilenburg 34 22 5 7 65:33 71
2 Krieschow 34 20 5 9 81:53 65
3 Bischofswerdaer 34 17 8 9 69:36 59
4 Plauen 34 16 9 9 82:47 57
5 Bautzen 34 16 6 12 66:55 54
6 Auerbach 34 12 14 8 55:42 50
7 Freital 34 14 8 12 49:42 50
8 Sandersdorf 34 13 10 11 37:43 49
9 Einheit Wernigerode 34 13 9 12 66:66 48
10 Einheit Rudolstadt 34 12 11 11 50:53 47
11 Halle 34 12 8 14 45:49 44
12 Ludwigsfelder 34 11 10 13 35:38 43
13 Grimma 34 10 12 12 41:46 42
14 An der Fahner Hohe 34 12 5 17 50:67 41
15 Wacker Nordhausen 34 10 6 18 42:65 36
16 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 34 7 10 17 58:77 31
17 SV 1890 Westerhausen 34 6 10 18 44:84 28
18 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 4 12 18 27:66 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2022/2023 (Main)