Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frejus Saint Raphael vs Gueugnon

France France

National 2010/2011
Fri, May 13, 2011
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frejus Saint Raphael host Gueugnon in the National 2010/2011. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Frejus Saint Raphael at 1.23 goals for, 1.61 against; Gueugnon at 0.6 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor Frejus Saint Raphael slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2011, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.25) back Frejus Saint Raphael to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Frejus Saint Raphael
15%
Draws
21%
Gueugnon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Frejus Saint Raphael carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Frejus Saint Raphael taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Frejus Saint Raphael here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 19%
Gueugnon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael Gueugnon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.23 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2011 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Gueugnon
3:0
Feb 8, 2011 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:1
Apr 16, 2010 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:1
Nov 7, 2009 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Gueugnon
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 76 / 100
Gueugnon 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael Gueugnon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gueugnon let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Frejus Saint Raphael's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Frejus Saint Raphael went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
Page 1 of 7

Gueugnon

(Away)
16 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Sochaux
29 Oct
Chamalieres
2 : 1
Gueugnon
17 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Clermont
02 Dec
Gueugnon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
11 Nov
Tour Saint Clair
0 : 1
Gueugnon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bastia 40 27 10 3 81:24 91
2 Amiens SC 40 24 12 4 58:27 84
3 Guingamp 40 23 11 6 87:36 80
4 Strasbourg 40 20 17 3 56:27 77
5 Cannes 40 18 14 8 51:35 68
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 40 19 10 11 56:41 67
7 Beauvais 40 15 16 9 50:48 61
8 Rouen 40 15 14 11 54:44 59
9 Orleans 40 13 14 13 43:40 53
10 Creteil 40 13 12 15 41:48 51
11 Paris FC 40 11 16 13 45:46 49
12 Luzenac 40 12 13 15 39:44 49
13 Niort 40 13 10 17 46:46 49
14 Pacy Eure 40 13 8 19 38:47 45
15 Colmar 40 11 11 18 31:48 44
16 Gap 40 11 10 19 44:62 43
17 Bayonne 40 11 10 19 36:58 43
18 Rodez 40 11 7 22 41:63 40
19 Plabennec 40 9 12 19 33:52 39
20 Alfortville 40 6 10 24 33:79 28
21 Gueugnon 40 3 7 30 21:69 16
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)