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Frejus Saint Raphael vs Nimes

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Toure B.
78' Event
Sylla K.

AI Match Summary

Nimes in this National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nimes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Frejus Saint Raphael
15%
Draws
42%
Nimes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nimes lately — more wins on the board than Frejus Saint Raphael.
  • Model gives Frejus Saint Raphael a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nimes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 16%
Nimes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael Nimes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Nimes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Nimes
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Nimes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
3:0
Jan 13, 2012 Ligue 3
Nimes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
4:1
Aug 12, 2011 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Nimes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nimes Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylla K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 41 / 100
Nimes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael Nimes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nimes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nimes conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS Nimes
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
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Nimes

(Away)
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Canet Roussillon
1 : 3
Nimes
30 Jul
Marseille
2 : 1
Nimes
22 Jul
Rodez
2 : 1
Nimes
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)