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Frejus Saint Raphael vs Troyes II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Kich Y.
44' Event
Abdeldjelil O.
52' Event
Chupin T.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between Frejus Saint Raphael and Troyes II finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Frejus Saint Raphael
15%
Draws
40%
Troyes II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Frejus Saint Raphael's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Troyes II have produced (1.1).
  • Win probability leans Frejus Saint Raphael's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 68%
Troyes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael Troyes II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Troyes II
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Kich Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdeldjelil O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Troyes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Chupin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 86 / 100
Troyes II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael Troyes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Frejus Saint Raphael found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Troyes II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Frejus Saint Raphael remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS Troyes II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
11 Nov
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Troyes II
07 Nov
Lyon - La Duchere
2 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
17 Oct
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 0
Canet Roussillon
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
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Troyes II

(Away)
11 Nov
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Troyes II
07 Nov
Troyes II
1 : 0
Canet Roussillon
31 Oct
Bourges 18
2 : 3
Troyes II
17 Oct
Troyes II
1 : 0
GOAL FC
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)