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Stadium Background

Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Hilton Park, Fremantle
Fremantle City Logo

Fremantle City

4 - 3
FT
Perth Glory U23 Logo

Perth Glory U23

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nilson C.
30' Event
Risdon J.
41' Event
Mutyavaviri T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Fremantle City and Perth Glory U23 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fremantle City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fremantle City
30%
Draws
37%
Perth Glory U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perth Glory U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fremantle City come out ahead of Perth Glory U23 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Fremantle City taking it.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 19%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fremantle City Perth Glory U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City
5:3
May 23, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23
4:3
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City
5:0
Jul 27, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilson C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Risdon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutyavaviri T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Evans O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fremantle City 42 / 100
Perth Glory U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fremantle City Perth Glory U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fremantle City scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Perth Glory U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Fremantle City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fremantle City VS Perth Glory U23
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fremantle City

(Home)
22 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 1
Fremantle City
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
09 Aug
South Melbourne
4 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Fremantle City
2 : 2
Perth Azzurri
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2
Fremantle City
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Perth Glory U23

(Away)
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Perth Glory U23
4 : 0
Dianella White Eagle
18 Jul
Perth Glory U23
2 : 2
Armadale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)