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Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Hilton Park
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nilson C.
30' Event
Risdon J.
41' Event
Mutyavaviri T.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Fremantle City and Perth Glory U23 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fremantle City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fremantle City
6%
Draws
4%
Perth Glory U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fremantle City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fremantle City come out ahead of Perth Glory U23 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Fremantle City taking it.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 14%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fremantle City Perth Glory U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23
4:3
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City
5:0
Jul 27, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City
0:1
May 4, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilson C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Risdon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutyavaviri T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Evans O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fremantle City 84 / 100
Perth Glory U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fremantle City Perth Glory U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fremantle City scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Perth Glory U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Fremantle City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fremantle City VS Perth Glory U23
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar17114229:2037
2Bayswater17104342:2334
3Olympic Kingsway17103437:2533
4Perth Azzurri1786340:3130
5Fremantle City1877435:2728
6Stirling Macedonia1772832:2723
7Western Knights1764731:3022
8Dianella White Eagle1755728:3120
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale17431031:4515
11Perth Glory U2317341028:3613
12Balcatta17321224:4911