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Fremantle City vs Sorrento

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Hilton Park, Fremantle
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Cummings D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Fremantle City and Sorrento finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fremantle City
6%
Draws
4%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fremantle City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fremantle City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Fremantle City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 18%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fremantle City Sorrento
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Fremantle City
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Sorrento
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Fremantle City
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Sorrento
1:1
Jul 12, 2008 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Sorrento
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fremantle City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Cummings D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fremantle City 85 / 100
Sorrento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fremantle City Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fremantle City found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Fremantle City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sorrento has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fremantle City VS Sorrento
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fremantle City

(Home)
18 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 3
Fremantle City
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
04 Jul
Fremantle City
1 : 1
Bayswater
27 Jun
Fremantle City
3 : 0
Western Knights
20 Jun
Fremantle City
1 : 0
Dianella White Eagle
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Sorrento

(Away)
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
04 Jul
Western Knights
2 : 0
Sorrento
27 Jun
Dianella White Eagle
2 : 1
Sorrento
20 Jun
Sorrento
0 : 3
Armadale
13 Jun
Stirling Macedonia
0 : 1
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar18114329:2337
2Olympic Kingsway18113440:2536
3Bayswater17104342:2334
4Fremantle City1987438:2731
5Perth Azzurri1887343:3431
6Stirling Macedonia1872932:2923
7Western Knights1865734:3323
8Dianella White Eagle1855828:3420
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale18441033:4716
11Perth Glory U2318351030:3814
12Balcatta18421226:4914
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)