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Friburguense vs Barra Mansa

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Friburguense Logo

Friburguense

0 - 0
FT
Barra Mansa Logo

Barra Mansa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Friburguense and Barra Mansa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Friburguense
35%
Draws
15%
Barra Mansa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Friburguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Friburguense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Friburguense a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Friburguense Clean Sheet 68%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friburguense Barra Mansa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.76 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Carioca B2
Friburguense vs Barra Mansa
0:0
Feb 8, 2015 Carioca
Barra Mansa vs Friburguense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friburguense 50 / 100
Barra Mansa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friburguense Barra Mansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friburguense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra Mansa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Friburguense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Friburguense scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Friburguense VS Barra Mansa
1.17 Goals Scored 0.88
0.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
33% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Friburguense

(Home)
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
Page 1 of 6

Barra Mansa

(Away)
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
31 Aug
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Campos AA
23 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 2
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 4 4 0 0 7:1 12
2 Friburguense 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
3 Santa Cruz RJ 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
4 7 de Abril 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Paduano EC 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Belford Roxo 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Campos AA 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
8 Serra Macaense 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
9 FC Rio de Janeiro 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Barra Mansa 4 0 3 1 5:8 3
11 Paraty 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
12 Buzios 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)