Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Friburguense play Serrano FC in the Carioca B1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Friburguense averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Serrano FC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Friburguense won 1, Serrano FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 21, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Friburguense and 1.13 for Serrano FC. This points to a Serrano FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Friburguense picked up more points recently compared to Serrano FC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Friburguense | Serrano FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Friburguense Compare
Serrano FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Friburguense scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Serrano FC let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 0.50 goals.
Friburguense went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
Serrano FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonsucesso | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sao Cristovao | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Serrano FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Niteroiense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Goncalense | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Nova Cidade | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Campo Grande | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | AA Carapebus | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Paduano EC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 12 | Friburguense | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:13 | 4 |