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Frigg vs Konnerud

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frigg host Konnerud in the Division 3 - Group 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Konnerud have shipped 2.96 goals a game lately, while Frigg have conceded 2.14 and scored 2.86. Past meetings favor Konnerud slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.69 - 1.63) back Frigg to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Frigg
20%
Draws
40%
Konnerud
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Frigg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Frigg Clean Sheet 14%
Konnerud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frigg Konnerud
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 1
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.86 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Konnerud vs Frigg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frigg 30 / 100
Konnerud 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frigg Konnerud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frigg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frigg found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Konnerud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Frigg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frigg VS Konnerud
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Frigg

(Home)
12 Sept
Heming
5 : 1
Frigg
05 Sept
Frigg
5 : 2
Ready
22 Aug
Frigg
0 : 4
Kjelsas
15 Aug
Frigg
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Oslo
08 Aug
Nordstrand
2 : 3
Frigg
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Konnerud

(Away)
12 Sept
Konnerud
3 : 2
Grei
05 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Konnerud
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
15 Aug
Gamle Oslo
7 : 1
Konnerud
07 Aug
Union Carl Berner
1 : 2
Konnerud
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