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Frosinone vs Venezia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Bella-Kotchap A. In: Sagrado R.
Out: Bella-Kotchap A.
21' Event
Raimondo A.
Assist: Oyono A.
33'
Schmid R.

AI Match Summary

Frosinone in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frosinone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Frosinone
15%
Draws
0%
Venezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frosinone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Venezia haven't matched Frosinone's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Frosinone a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 16%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frosinone Venezia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie A
Frosinone vs Venezia
3:2
Feb 7, 2026 Serie B
Frosinone vs Venezia
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Serie B
Venezia vs Frosinone
3:0
Mar 5, 2023 Serie B
Frosinone vs Venezia
3:0
Oct 14, 2022 Serie B
Venezia vs Frosinone
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Raimondo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kvernadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Venezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeboah J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagrado R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frosinone 84 / 100
Venezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frosinone Venezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frosinone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frosinone scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Venezia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Venezia has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Frosinone VS Venezia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Frosinone

(Home)
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
Page 1 of 6

Venezia

(Away)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)