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FSV Schwerin vs Lichtenberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FSV Schwerin host Lichtenberg in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FSV Schwerin have averaged 1.48 scored and 2.24 conceded recently, against Lichtenberg's 1.78 scored and 1.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Lichtenberg slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 19, 2018, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.63, favoring Lichtenberg. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
FSV Schwerin
20%
Draws
51%
Lichtenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lichtenberg lately — more wins on the board than FSV Schwerin.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FSV Schwerin Clean Sheet 14%
Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FSV Schwerin Lichtenberg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs FSV Schwerin
3:0
Nov 25, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs Lichtenberg
2:4
May 28, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs Lichtenberg
1:1
Dec 3, 2016 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs FSV Schwerin
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FSV Schwerin 31 / 100
Lichtenberg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FSV Schwerin Lichtenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

FSV Schwerin scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lichtenberg conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

FSV Schwerin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FSV Schwerin VS Lichtenberg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FSV Schwerin

(Home)
09 Oct
FSV Schwerin
2 : 2
Hansa Rostock II
26 Sept
Mahlsdorf
3 : 1
FSV Schwerin
18 Sept
FSV Schwerin
1 : 2
Wismar
13 Sept
Berliner AK 07
2 : 2
FSV Schwerin
28 Aug
FSV Schwerin
2 : 1
TB Berlin
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Lichtenberg

(Away)
10 Oct
Lichtenberg
1 : 3
Wismar
25 Sept
TB Berlin
0 : 1
Lichtenberg
19 Sept
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
TUS Makkabi
13 Sept
Stendal
1 : 0
Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
Hertha Zehlendorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berliner AK 07 7 4 3 0 12:6 15
2 Siedenbollentin 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
3 Mahlsdorf 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 7 4 0 3 12:6 12
5 Lichtenberg 7 4 0 3 10:8 12
6 Wismar 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
7 Reinickendorfer 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
8 Rathenow 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
9 Hansa Rostock II 7 2 3 2 18:11 9
10 TB Berlin 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
11 FSV Schwerin 7 2 3 2 11:12 9
12 Klosterfelde 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
13 TUS Makkabi 7 2 2 3 6:14 8
14 Stendal 7 2 1 4 11:14 7
15 Sparta Lichtenberg 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
16 TSG Neustrelitz 7 1 0 6 10:18 3
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)