Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FSV Schwerin vs TSG Neustrelitz

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Niemitz M.
37' Event
Niemitz M.
71' Event
Schmunck T.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2022/2023 game between FSV Schwerin and TSG Neustrelitz finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSG Neustrelitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FSV Schwerin
20%
Draws
30%
TSG Neustrelitz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FSV Schwerin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSG Neustrelitz come out ahead of FSV Schwerin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FSV Schwerin's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FSV Schwerin Clean Sheet 11%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FSV Schwerin TSG Neustrelitz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.47 2
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs TSG Neustrelitz
0:3
Oct 2, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs FSV Schwerin
4:1
May 29, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs TSG Neustrelitz
0:0
Feb 13, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs FSV Schwerin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FSV Schwerin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

TSG Neustrelitz Compare

Top Goalscorer Niemitz M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schmunck T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FSV Schwerin 56 / 100
TSG Neustrelitz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FSV Schwerin TSG Neustrelitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FSV Schwerin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FSV Schwerin scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: TSG Neustrelitz conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FSV Schwerin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FSV Schwerin VS TSG Neustrelitz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FSV Schwerin

(Home)
26 Sept
Mahlsdorf
3 : 1
FSV Schwerin
18 Sept
FSV Schwerin
1 : 2
Wismar
13 Sept
Berliner AK 07
2 : 2
FSV Schwerin
28 Aug
FSV Schwerin
2 : 1
TB Berlin
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1
FSV Schwerin
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TSG Neustrelitz

(Away)
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 2
Reinickendorfer
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
14 Aug
TSG Neustrelitz
3 : 2
Siedenbollentin
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hansa Rostock II 34 25 6 3 94:28 81
2 Rostocker FC 34 22 3 9 77:38 69
3 TUS Makkabi 34 20 7 7 73:32 67
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 18 8 8 71:40 62
5 Rsv Eintracht 34 15 12 7 56:53 57
6 CFC Hertha 34 14 7 13 48:44 49
7 Blau Weiss Berlin 34 14 6 14 59:60 48
8 Dynamo Schwerin 34 13 9 12 48:54 48
9 TSG Neustrelitz 34 13 8 13 55:54 47
10 Furstenwalde 34 12 11 11 48:56 47
11 Mahlsdorf 34 11 13 10 48:52 46
12 SV Tasmania Berlin 34 11 6 17 45:61 39
13 Rathenow 34 9 7 18 42:60 34
14 SC Staaken 34 8 9 17 46:61 33
15 Neuruppin 34 7 11 16 43:57 32
16 1.FC Frankfurt 34 9 4 21 43:72 31
17 Pampow 34 7 9 18 51:83 30
18 FSV Schwerin 34 8 4 22 47:89 28
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2022/2023 (Main)