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Fuentes vs Borja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Blasco D.
89' Event
Gayan I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 game between Fuentes and Borja finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fuentes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Fuentes
20%
Draws
0%
Borja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fuentes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Borja haven't matched Fuentes's recent run of results.
  • Fuentes are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 68%
Borja Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuentes Borja
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.72 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Borja
2:0
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Fuentes
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuentes Compare

Top Goalscorer Blasco D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gayan I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Borja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuentes 86 / 100
Borja 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuentes Borja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fuentes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Borja has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Borja let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fuentes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fuentes VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuentes

(Home)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
Page 1 of 7

Borja

(Away)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)