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Fuentes vs CD Caspe

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rotellar F.
42'
Porroche M.
42'
Porroche M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Fuentes and CD Caspe finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Caspe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fuentes
35%
Draws
32%
CD Caspe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Caspe come out ahead of Fuentes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Caspe's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 20%
CD Caspe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuentes CD Caspe
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs CD Caspe
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Fuentes
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Fuentes
2:2
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs CD Caspe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuentes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

CD Caspe Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotellar F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Marin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuentes 24 / 100
CD Caspe 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuentes CD Caspe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Caspe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Caspe let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Fuentes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fuentes found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Caspe
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuentes

(Home)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
Page 1 of 6

CD Caspe

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Caspe
1 : 1
Zaragoza B
13 Sept
Huesca B
1 : 0
CD Caspe
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
24 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 1
CD Caspe
17 May
CD Caspe
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)