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Fuentes vs Utrillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Roche F.

AI Match Summary

Fuentes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fuentes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fuentes
35%
Draws
32%
Utrillas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fuentes lately — more wins on the board than Utrillas.
  • Fuentes are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 20%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuentes Utrillas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 12
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.6 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Utrillas
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Fuentes
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Utrillas
3:1
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Fuentes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuentes Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Utrillas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuentes 42 / 100
Utrillas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuentes Utrillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utrillas has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Fuentes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Fuentes scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Utrillas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuentes

(Home)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
Page 1 of 6

Utrillas

(Away)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)