Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila Prediction & H2H Stats

El Salvador El Salvador

Copa Presidente
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Fuerte San Francisco
30%
Draws
58%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguila have won more games recently than Fuerte San Francisco.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Aguila arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aguila, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 16%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuerte San Francisco Aguila
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 7 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
4:1
Apr 1, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa Presidente
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
2:3
Oct 29, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuerte San Francisco 36 / 100
Aguila 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuerte San Francisco Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Fuerte San Francisco found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Aguila conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fuerte San Francisco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fuerte San Francisco VS Aguila
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuerte San Francisco

(Home)
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
05 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
FAS
Page 1 of 7

Aguila

(Away)
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal Limeno 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Platense Municipal 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 CD Cruzeiro 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
4 Tenancingo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Fuerte San Francisco 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Dragon 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Racing de Gualuca 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacahuatique 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 El Roble de Ilobasco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Luis Angel Firpo 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Cabanas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batanecos 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
2 Alianza FC 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Zacatecoluca FC 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Vendaval 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Hercules 3 1 2 0 6:4 5
3 Izalco 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Fuerte Aguilares 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Santa Tecla 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Metapan 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Talleres Jr 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Once Municipal 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)