Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fuerte San Francisco vs Metapan

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fuerte San Francisco host Metapan in the Primera Division. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Metapan have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Fuerte San Francisco have conceded 1 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Fuerte San Francisco slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.25 - 0.94) back Metapan to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fuerte San Francisco
22%
Draws
18%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fuerte San Francisco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metapan lately — more wins on the board than Fuerte San Francisco.
  • Win probability leans Fuerte San Francisco's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fuerte San Francisco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuerte San Francisco Metapan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Metapan
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Metapan
1:0
May 3, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuerte San Francisco 58 / 100
Metapan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuerte San Francisco Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fuerte San Francisco's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Metapan let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fuerte San Francisco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fuerte San Francisco VS Metapan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuerte San Francisco

(Home)
26 Jul
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 1
Platense Municipal
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
21 Apr
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 0
Platense Municipal
19 Apr
Zacatecoluca FC
1 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Metapan

(Away)
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Metapan11004:23
2Alianza FC11003:13
3FAS11003:13
4Luis Angel Firpo10101:11
5Aguila10101:11
6Platense Municipal10101:11
7Fuerte San Francisco10101:11
8Atletico Balboa10100:01
9Inter Santa Tecla10100:01
10Cacahuatique10012:40
11Municipal Limeno10011:30
12Inca Aruba10011:30
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)