Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Toho

Fujieda MYFC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fukushima United play Fujieda MYFC in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fukushima United averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Fujieda MYFC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Fukushima United won 1, Fujieda MYFC won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Fukushima United and 1.44 for Fujieda MYFC. This points to a Fukushima United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Fukushima United

15%

Draws

41%

Fujieda MYFC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fukushima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Fukushima United picked up more points recently compared to Fujieda MYFC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Fukushima United Clean Sheet 16%

Fujieda MYFC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fukushima United	Fujieda MYFC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	11
Draws	0	3
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	1.53	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League

Fujieda MYFC vs Fukushima United

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Mar 21, 2026 J2/J3 League

Fukushima United vs Fujieda MYFC

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

3:4

Nov 13, 2022 J3 League

Fujieda MYFC vs Fukushima United

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Jun 5, 2022 J3 League

Fukushima United vs Fujieda MYFC

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

0:6

Sep 19, 2021 J3 League

Fujieda MYFC vs Fukushima United

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fukushima United Compare

Top Goalscorer Okada Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Shimizu K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Fujieda MYFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsuki S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Okazawa K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukushima United 43 / 100

Fujieda MYFC 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fukushima United Fujieda MYFC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fukushima United or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fukushima United attacking → ← attacking Fujieda MYFC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukushima United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Fujieda MYFC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Fukushima United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fujieda MYFC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 36

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15