Sport Picks
Fukushima United vs Kumamoto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Toho, Fukushima 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ri T.
29'
29'
Ozawa H.
Assist: Omoto Y.
31'
31'
Okada Y.
Assist: Anzai T.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Fukushima United and Kumamoto finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumamoto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kumamoto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fukushima United come out ahead of Kumamoto on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kumamoto have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 13%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fukushima United | Kumamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Kumamoto
1:2
Mar 13, 2024 J.League Cup
Fukushima United vs Kumamoto
1:2
Sep 26, 2021 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Fukushima United
1:0
Apr 11, 2021 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Kumamoto
1:2
Oct 11, 2020 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Kumamoto
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fukushima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Okada Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Kumamoto Compare
Top Goalscorer Ozawa H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ishihara O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fukushima United 35 / 100
Kumamoto 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fukushima United Kumamoto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fukushima United's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Kumamoto has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Fukushima United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fukushima United VS Kumamoto
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fukushima United
(Home) 04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7 Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7 Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
29 Aug
Fukushima United
2 : 2 Nara Club
Page 1 of 4
Kumamoto
(Away) 02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0 Kumamoto
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0 Kumamoto
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
30 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 2 Kumamoto
19 Aug
Gainare Tottori
3 : 2 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 16 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
