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Fukushima United vs Mito

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Toho, Fukushima
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the J.League Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Fukushima United have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.96 conceded recently, against Mito's 1.17 scored and 1.76 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.56, favoring Fukushima United. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Fukushima United
15%
Draws
37%
Mito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fukushima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fukushima United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Fukushima United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 15%
Mito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fukushima United Mito
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 1 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 2.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukushima United 31 / 100
Mito 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fukushima United Mito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukushima United found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Mito let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fukushima United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mito lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fukushima United VS Mito
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fukushima United

(Home)
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

Mito

(Away)
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
02 Sept
Mito
4 : 2
Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Tochigi City -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Albirex Niigata -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Kanazawa -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Montedio Yamagata -
Urawa Reds -
Toyama -
Yokohama FC -
Gifu -
Okayama -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
Nagoya Grampus -
Giravanz Kitakyushu -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Kumamoto -
Chiba -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
FC Osaka -
Verdy -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Fujieda MYFC -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Ehime -
Mito -
Fukushima United -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Gamba Osaka -
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -