Sport Picks
Fukushima United vs Nagano Parceiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Toho, Fukushima 
Match Events
6'
6'
Gyotoku E.
21'
21'
Honda K.
34'
34'
Okada Y.
Assist: Sasaki N.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Fukushima United and Nagano Parceiro finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fukushima United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nagano Parceiro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fukushima United haven't matched Nagano Parceiro's recent run of results.
- Model gives Nagano Parceiro a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fukushima United | Nagano Parceiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Nagano Parceiro
4:3
Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Fukushima United
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Fukushima United vs Nagano Parceiro
4:2
Sep 28, 2025 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Nagano Parceiro
1:4
Mar 23, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Fukushima United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fukushima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Okada Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Shimizu K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Gyotoku E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yamanaka R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fukushima United 10 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fukushima United Nagano Parceiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fukushima United scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Nagano Parceiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Fukushima United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fukushima United VS Nagano Parceiro
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fukushima United
(Home) 10 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 2 Reilac Shiga
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7 Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 2 Reilac Shiga
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7 Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 4
Nagano Parceiro
(Away) 10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0 Nagano Parceiro
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 16 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
