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Japan

J2/J3 League Toho

Omiya Ardija

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fukushima United play Omiya Ardija in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fukushima United averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Omiya Ardija averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Fukushima United won 0, Omiya Ardija won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Fukushima United and 1.81 for Omiya Ardija. This points to a Omiya Ardija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Fukushima United

33%

Draws

27%

Omiya Ardija

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fukushima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Omiya Ardija has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Fukushima United.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Fukushima United.
League standings and seasonal metrics in J2/J3 League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Fukushima United Clean Sheet 11%

Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fukushima United	Omiya Ardija
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	16
Draws	0	1
Losses	16	13
Goals Scored	1.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.88	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 J2/J3 League

Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League

Omiya Ardija vs Fukushima United

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

6:0

Oct 13, 2024 J3 League

Omiya Ardija vs Fukushima United

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Apr 21, 2024 J3 League

Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fukushima United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsuchiya K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer Izumi T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sekiguchi K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukushima United 38 / 100

Omiya Ardija 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fukushima United Omiya Ardija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukushima United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Omiya Ardija let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Fukushima United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Omiya Ardija lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fukushima United VS Omiya Ardija

1.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15