Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025

Sangiovannese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fulgens Foligno play Sangiovannese in the Serie D - Group E 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fulgens Foligno averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Sangiovannese averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Fulgens Foligno won 1, Sangiovannese won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 12, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Fulgens Foligno and 1.38 for Sangiovannese. This points to a Fulgens Foligno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Fulgens Foligno

27%

Draws

27%

Sangiovannese

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Fulgens Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Fulgens Foligno picked up more points recently compared to Sangiovannese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Fulgens Foligno Clean Sheet 17%

Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fulgens Foligno	Sangiovannese
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	8
Draws	8	8
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	1.83	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Fulgens Foligno vs Sangiovannese

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Sangiovannese vs Fulgens Foligno

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulgens Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomassini S.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Sangiovannese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulgens Foligno 45 / 100

Sangiovannese 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fulgens Foligno Sangiovannese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fulgens Foligno or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fulgens Foligno attacking → ← attacking Sangiovannese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulgens Foligno scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Sangiovannese let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Fulgens Foligno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sangiovannese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 32

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Livorno	34	21	9	4	74:44	72
2	Fulgens Foligno	34	17	9	8	61:44	60
3	Seravezza Pozzi	34	16	11	7	53:39	59
4	Ghiviborgo	34	17	4	13	65:57	55
5	Orvietana	34	15	8	11	44:41	53
6	Siena	34	14	10	10	35:32	52
7	Grosseto	34	13	11	10	39:34	50
8	Ostiamare	34	12	9	13	49:53	45
9	Poggibonsi	34	12	7	15	32:36	43
10	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	11	10	13	26:26	43
11	Montevarchi	34	9	14	11	36:39	41
12	Flaminia	34	10	10	14	42:43	40
13	Follonica Gavorrano	34	10	10	14	40:45	40
14	Terranuova Traiana	34	8	15	11	34:47	39
15	Figline	34	9	11	14	29:33	38
16	Sporting Trestina	34	9	11	14	35:45	38
17	Sangiovannese	34	9	9	16	30:38	36
18	Fezzanese	34	6	8	20	35:63	26