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Fulgens Foligno vs Siena Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Tomassini S.
79' Event
Pupo Posada Y.

AI Match Summary

Fulgens Foligno in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fulgens Foligno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fulgens Foligno
15%
Draws
48%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siena lately — more wins on the board than Fulgens Foligno.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Fulgens Foligno Clean Sheet 10%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulgens Foligno Siena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.83 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Fulgens Foligno vs Siena
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Fulgens Foligno
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulgens Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomassini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pupo Posada Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Siena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulgens Foligno 34 / 100
Siena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulgens Foligno Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulgens Foligno's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Siena has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fulgens Foligno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siena
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulgens Foligno

(Home)
11 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 2
Orvietana
04 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Livorno
2 : 1
Fulgens Foligno
17 Apr
Fulgens Foligno
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
12 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Fulgens Foligno
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Siena

(Away)
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)